Russia’s ull-scale military invasion of Ukraine this morning began what could be the largest European conflict since the second world war.
Western leaders condemned the action, and threatened further reprisals. A virtual summit of G7 leaders was set for this morning,while there is an emergency Nato meeting ahead of an emergency summit of EU leaders this evening to decide on retaliatory moves.
The invasion prominent western resignations from Russian boards – though more remain in place. Former prime minister of Italy, Matteo Renzi, resigned from Delimobil, a car sharing service, while Esko Aho, the former prime minister of Finland, quit Russia’s largest bank Sberbank.
It also sent oil prices soaring, with Brent crude rising to more than $100 per barrel – the highest level since 2014. Gas prices have also risen. A lack of investment has limited producers’ ability to boost output, meaning there aren’t many ways to ease energy prices.
This puts the post-pandemic economic recovery, particularly in Europe, under threat. Inflation was already a problem, but increasing energy prices will raise inflationary pressures and add to the complexity over when to tighten monetary policy.
Still, the ECB must move slowly, argues Megan Greene, a senior fellow at Harvard Kennedy School. “Raising the policy rate won’t alleviate oil or gas supplies and premature withdrawal of accommodation could kill the recovery and reintroduce fragmentation concerns.”
But earlier this week there was a positive outlook for the UK as a survey showed business activity expanded at its fastest rate for eight months in February. Inflation still loomed large, though, as the results added to expectations that the BoE will continue to raise rates.
That said, the UK’s “Living with Covid” strategy, announced this week, has left employers facing a “legal vacuum”. There is no guidance on workplace safety, with ministers refusing to fund free office testing or keep refunding small businesses for statutory sick pay.
Into corporate governance and the FTSE Women Leaders Review published voluntary recommendations setting a target for women to occupy at least 40 per cent of board and leadership positions in the FTSE 350 by the end of 2025. Importantly, these targets will apply to the largest 50 private companies in the UK by sales.
Executive pay has also been making headlines. US companies are adding ESG targets to bonus packages, with Starbucks chief Kevin Johnson earning a slice of his 2021 reward by cutting use of plastic straws.
Meanwhile, German fund manager Allianz Global Investors warned that from next year it will vote against any large UK and European companies that do not link executive pay to ESG metrics. And in a letter to the boards of Britain’s privatised water companies, the regulator Ofwat urged directors to link executive pay and performance.
ESG also loomed large for McDonald’s as activist investor Carl Icahn launched an unusual battle. He nominated two board directors as part of a campaign to require that the fast food giant’s US pork suppliers end the practice of keeping pregnant pigs confined in small crates.
“Companies had better start getting used to this kind of activism,” writes chief business commentator Brooke Masters, as single-issue charities and activist hedge funds are now gaining support from a much wider range of investors.
But on the other side of ESG, profits are booming for Big Oil. Seven supermajors are on course to return $38bn to investors through buyback programmes this year. It’s also estimated that shareholders can expect about $50bn in dividends.
It’s a similar story at mining company Rio Tinto. Investors are set to receive a total of $16.8bn (£12.3bn) for the last financial year – the second-biggest payout in the FTSE 100’s history (Vodafone holds the record).